Con Majority
|
1 (5%)
|
Con/Lib Dem Coalition
|
1 (5%)
|
Con Minority
|
6 (30%)
|
Another General Election
|
0 (0%)
|
Lab Minority
|
3 (15%)
|
Lab/Lib Dem Coalition
|
1 (5%)
|
Lab Majority
|
8 (40%)
|
The more time that passes the more I personally become of
the opinion that we will do badly in the General Election in 2015. Last year in
March if you asked me I would have said that we would win 2015 if we put in the
effort. Now I doubt we can actually win a even the most seats in Parliament.
Personally I'm still far from thinking that Labour will get anything resembling
a majority. Ashcroft's poll of an 84 majority is probably a bit pessimistic
considering its not yet 2015 so a large chunk of that is probably mid-term
blues. A majority of 4 is on the liberal side of likely results at the moment.
This blog is almost exclusively read by Tories and as 60% of
you are on the pessimistic side with only 5% saying the Tories can win a majority
the situation at the moment does look bleak.
It seems our party has a problem and it's that we are
divided on whether to go for economic success or left wing consensus. For the
moment the leadership not fully going for economic liberalisation but if we don't change that not
only will party members be furious but the electorate won't vote for us. This
is not like Thatcher in the early 80s either, she cut inflation after a few
years but became unpopular due to high unemployment. She actually achieved her
objectives, not even the Government thinks they're going to bring get rid of the deficit by 2015.
Please vote in the next poll.
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