Paul
Holmes
|
102 (23%)
|
James
Deighton
|
16 (3%)
|
Oliver
Cooper
|
308 (72%)
|
Before we start seeing this as a complete annihilation I’d
like to point out some of the unavoidable biases and unreliableness of this
poll. #ThingsElliottSays has a pro Cooper bias because NUCA and the East
Midlands members are almost entirely going to vote for him, although clearly
that cannot amount to 426 votes. Also Oliver, whenever I’ve tweeted this poll at
the candidates, retweeted the link to the blog to get his voters out as much as
possible. This is not the case with Paul Holmes. Paul did retweet the poll when
first created but has refused to since. This is likely due to his campaign manager
who sent me this delightful comment.
So because Paul has not been allowed to get his voters out
as much as Oliver he has a significant disadvantage.
But these are the underlying trends from what this
information tells us. Oliver Cooper is winning in the East Midlands and most
likely everywhere else outside London. James Deighton the newly appointed ‘King
of the North’ has made little impact in what is his home region with only 16
votes. The mood on the ground outside London is also that Paul Holmes is a
centraliser. His comments on CF regions and the fact he has barely ventured out
from London helps cement this opinion. For obvious reasons most CFers (who don’t
live in London) want the party to come to them not them to go to London.
Paul Holmes however does have a lot of support in London. He
has probably picked up most of the Matt Robinson votes there. But he needs to
win all of London in order to have a chance of becoming CF Chairman. Note that
Oliver Cooper in the best attended London based hustings, organised by London
Spin, won with 37% of the vote. Paul seemingly only won one of the London
hustings because of a low voting turnout.
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